Record Details

Title An Empirical Basis for EGS Flow Stimulation Mechanics
Authors Peter Leary, Justin Pogacnik, and Peter Malin
Year 2012
Conference New Zealand Geothermal Workshop
Keywords Fractures, fracture connectivity, lognormal distributions, well logs, well core, flow simulation
Abstract Population statistics of in situ permeability, trace element abundance, and ore grade data typically range from normal to long-tailed/lognormal distributions. A range of permeability statistics is simply expressed by ê = ê0 exp(á(ö-ö0)), ê = permeability, ö = porosity (empirically normally distributed), with parameter á ratioing the standard deviation of logê to the standard deviation of ö. For á small, permeability is normally distributed in accordance with ö; for á large, permeability is manifestly long-tailed/lognormal, logê ~ áö. Relation by ê = ê0 exp(á(ö-ö0)) derives from extensive well-log and well-core data. Well-log power-spectra scale inversely with spatial frequency, S(k) ~ 1/k over five decades ~1/km < k < ~1/cm, characterizing long-range spatially-correlated in situ grain-scale-density fluctuations. While grain-scale fracture densities are normally distributed, fracture-connectivity ranges from normal (low levels of connectivity) to lognormal (high levels of connectivity). Fracture connectivity ranges are attested by well-core poroperm data relating fluctuations in porosity ö to fluctuations in permeability ê, ä öj ~ älogêj, j = 1….N, for äöj and älogêj = zero-mean/unit-variance fluctuation sequences of well-core porosity and log(permeability). Naturally occurring fracture connectivity ranges in the crust thus explain the normal-to-lognormal range of statistical descriptions of well-core permeability, trace element abundance, and ore grade data. Expression ê = ê0 exp(á(ö-ö0)) implies that for fixed porosity distribution ö increased permeability is associated with increased fracture connectivity of grain-scale fractures. Finite shear strain in a crustal volume inducing new grain-scale defects in association with existing grain-scale fracture porosity hence can create greater permeability through greater fracture connectivity. Naturally occurring finite-strain injection can explain the range of fracture-connectivity observed in normal-to-lognormal distributions for well-core permeability, trace element abundance, and ore body grades, from which we may infer that permeability enhancement for EGS heat-exchange volumes can be achieved through properly designed strain-damage-inducing wellbore pressurization.
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